NHL best bets: Five plus-money props for Saturday 3/11

It sure helps that the situation is so inviting. Tampa will host Chicago, who is playing their second game in as many days. The Blackhawks are allowing 3.8 goals per game over their last 10 road games and get peppered by shots. Add in a weak penalty kill against a strong Lightning power play (where Point presides), and Tampa should pour them on.

Cale Makar & Quinn Hughes 1+ point each (+108 DK)

Yes, I'm just going to continue betting Cale Makar to get a point why would we possibly stop now? Makar has six points in his last three games and has a point in eight straight at home.

The Avalanche should conceivably have their way with the Coyotes today, and with a power play edge the cherry on top, I'd be quite surprised if Makar isn't involved in a goal this evening. Makar has a point in five of his last six games against Arizona.

While Vince Dunn has been Makar's dance partner on this play all week, I'm a bit wary of betting on a point against Dallas, so instead we turn to another defensemen in Quinn Hughes.

I like some Canucks goals tonight, they average 3.3 goals per game in their last 10 at home while Ottawa allows the same amount on the road. Vancouver has also had some nice recent success against the Senators, scoring 18 goals over the last four meetings. 

Hughes has seven points in his last five games and a point in 72% of home games this season. Against Ottawa, Hughes has eight points in his past four meetings and has a point in 10 of his last 13 games.

Tomas Hertl over 2.5 SOG (+108 FD)

Surprisingly, San Jose has been able to get their shots lately even with Timo Meier gone, especially at home. Given the Wild are allowing 32.3 shots per game on the road over their past 10 and will be without their top player in Kirill Kaprizov, I like the Sharks to find some shots in the late game tonight.

Hertl is the obvious candidate to get involved. He has five SOG in three of his last four games, and all we're asking for is a measly three here, and we get plus-money.

If you put weight into positional data, I'll note that Minnesota is allowing the sixth-most shots to centers over the last 10 days. Hertl centers the San Jose top line.

.5u: Mats Zuccarello over 2.5 SOG (+100 DK/FD)

We'll end with a shot prop on the other end with Mats Zuccarello of Minnesota. As mentioned, Kirill Kaprizov is out, so someone needs to step up.

Last game without Kaprizov, Zuccarello had five shots and a goal, and against a Sharks team that is vulnerable to shots and goals, I expect the Wild offense to still maintain some level of competence.

Zucc has been ripping shots lately. He has 7+ attempts in three of his last four games, tallying 12 SOG in those three games. Last game against San Jose, Zuccarello had four shots, and he does skate on the top power play, which should get a handful of opportunities given the Sharks' proclivity for penalties.