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Sunday Six-Pack: Week 7 NFL betting guide
We're back with a fresh case of the Sunday Six-Pack, our favorite six bets for NFL Week 7 after a few days of intensive research.
Last week, the Six-Pack went 4-2, bringing our season total to 21-15 (58.3%). Enjoy this week's looks, and good luck!
We like this Lions line: Detroit +3 (-110 DraftKings)
The Lions have shown themselves to be nothing short but one of the best teams in the NFL, yet here we are with them getting three points from the inconsistent Baltimore Ravens.
What gives? Detroit is 5-1 ATS this season, often blowing out teams. Jared Goff is rolling and this offense has yet to hit its ceiling with Jameson Williams getting eased in and Jahmyr Gibbs working back from injury.
Take the points on the better team.
It can be simple sometimes: Washington -2 (-108 DraftKings)
The New York Giants kept Buffalo close last week, but don't get it twisted, this is one of the worst teams in the NFL.
Washington is coming off a big win and has better players on both sides of the ball. The Giants defense has an equal split of struggling against the ground and the pass, with a slight edge to being worse against running backs.
The Commanders tend to establish the run, so that's good news here for Washington. Take the Commanders at a very reasonable two-point spread.
Keep the chalk coming: Kenneth Walker III TD (-150 Caesars)
This is a chalky pick, but lately those are the ones that have been delivering. Arizona is one of the worst run defenses in football, allowing the fifth-most yards per game to running backs.
Not only are the yards flowing, but so are the touchdowns. The Cardinals are allowing the third-most touchdowns per game to RBs.
In comes Kenneth Walker III. Walker has scored in four straight weeks (six total TDs), and has shown no signs of slowing down in this Seattle offense. Take him with confidence.
Pete Carroll off a loss: Seattle -7.5 (-112 DraftKings)
The Seahawks are coming off a frustrating loss to the Cincinnati Bengals, which should give them an extra push to handle business against the Arizona Cardinals.
Arizona has shown no ability to slow down opposing RBs or WRs, and the Seahawks are well-equipped to take advantage.
Since 2010 when Pete Carroll became Seattle's coach, he is 47-29-4 ATS off a loss, good for a 61.8% rate. That is the second-best mark in the NFL since that time.
Ride the Rice train: Rashee Rice TD (+240 DraftKings)
Rashee Rice is starting to establish himself as Kansas City's top wide receiver, a valuable honor in an offense with Patrick Mahomes.
Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use.
Rice is averaging nearly five targets per game and has caught two touchdowns this season. Now, Rice is facing a Los Angeles Chargers team allowing the most yards per game to WRs and the third-most touchdowns per game to the position.
This is a nice price on Rice.
Bring on the fireworks: Miami-Philadelphia over 52 points (-110 DraftKings)
Oh, how is this Sunday night football game not going to be a ton of fun? We've got former Alabama QBs in Jalen Hurts vs. Tua Tagovailoa. We've got the two leading receivers in the NFL in Tyreek Hill and AJ Brown. We've got explosive running backs in Raheem Mostert and D'Andre Swift. We've got two aggressive coaches in Mike McDaniels and Nick Sirianni.
Why don't we just kick our feet up and enjoy the show? Grab the over here as both offenses get set to cook.
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