Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Gabe Davis' 2024 free agency contract projection

Originally posted on A to Z Sports | By Josh Queipo | Last updated 1/22/24

The NFL's regular season is over, which for most teams, means it's time to start figuring out plans for the offseason.

NFL free agency is a huge part of the process, and along with the NFL Draft, it has everyone preparing for what should be a very active couple of months.

We've officially come up with our own contract projections for the NFL's top free agents that include context behind each player's 2023 season, the likelihood of a franchise tag, the projection itself, and the first-year cap hit for a team that's “all-in” and is needing to reduce that first-year hit in order to maximize their cap dollars.

So, without further ado, let's check out the projection for Buffalo Bills wide receiver, Gabe Davis.

Gabe Davis 2024 Contract Projection

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Davis provides a skill that is sorely lacking in the NFL right now. In a world of two-high looks, receivers that can still stretch the field are at a premium. Enter Davis, who has sported an average yards per catch of over 16 for the last three years, an average depth of target that has never dropped below 14.5, and he's a prototypical deep threat in the modern NFL.

While Davis provides a valuable skill, he is far from a reliable option. His catch percentage has been below 60% every year of his career and he has never caught more than 50 passes in a season. Davis’ 1.42 yards per route run in 2023 was 57th out of 83 qualifying receivers.

Still Davis’ field stretching abilities can act as a force multiplier of sorts opening up the short-to-intermediate area for a creative offensive coordinator while simultaneously offering a fearless quarterback the opportunity to push the ball downfield.

Franchise Tag Likelihood: Low
3 yrs $37.5M, $12.5M APY, $15M GTD
Year One Cap Hit: $6.5 million

Be sure to check back in and around the site for more projections, as we will add more in the coming days and weeks.

This article first appeared on A to Z Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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