Best and worst NFL betting teams through Week 12

Worst teams: ATS

1. Los Angeles Rams (2-7-2)
2. Denver Broncos (3-8)
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-7-1)
4. New Orleans Saints (4-8)
5. Green Bay Packers (4-8)

It's the usual cast of characters here at the bottom of the board, with only the Buccaneers in playoff contention. Los Angeles is going to be seeing some large spreads for the remainder of this season, especially if Matthew Stafford, Aaron Donald and Cooper Kupp are all shut down for the remainder of the year.

Best teams: Overs

1. Cleveland Browns (7-3-1)
2. Chicago Bears (8-4)
3. Detroit Lions (7-4)
4. Philadelphia Eagles (7-4)

It's lonely at the top when it comes to overs, as not many teams have been consistently going over their total points. The Bears hit their over again this past week even without Justin Fields in the lineup and remain the hottest team for going over. It sounds like the young quarterback could return this week against the Packers.

Best teams: Unders

1. Denver Broncos (10-1)
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-2)
3. Indianapolis Colts (9-3)
4. Buffalo Bills (8-3)
5. Tennessee Titans (8-3)
6. Carolina Panthers (8-4)
7. Washington Commanders (8-4)
8. Los Angeles Rams (7-4)
9. San Francisco 49ers (7-4)
10. Houston Texans (7-4)
11. Baltimore Ravens (7-4)
12. New York Giants (7-4)
13. New York Jets (7-4)

We've been forced to expand this list to 13 teams because nearly half the league has gone under at a 64% rate or better. 

It's a remarkable trend that we've tried to get across each week: you need to be looking at unders. It's truly astonishing what Denver is doing here, and even with one of the lowest over/unders we've ever seen in an NFL game, they still managed to cover in that regard. 

Week 13 Games of Interest

Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens (38.5 points) - It's hard to find a reason to stop betting unders in Denver games, and Baltimore joins them at 7-4 to the under, making this a nice conversion between two solid trends. The Broncos have shown that they can go under any mark, this is one we have to consider.

Washington Commanders (-2.5) @ New York Giants (40.5 points) - This offers two intriguing looks as it relates to these years betting statistics. Both the Commanders and Giants are 7-4 or better to the under, and both teams are 7-4 or better ATS. New York has been dealing with some injuries, so we'd lean towards the Commanders covering the spread for the seventh time in the past eight weeks.

Tennessee Titans @ Philadelphia Eagles (44.5 points)Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans (47 points)

We're lumping these two games together, as these are both examples of teams on opposite ends of the betting spectrum. The Eagles and Browns are two of the best teams to the over, a rarity as we remarked on above. Then we have the Titans and Texans, 8-3 and 7-4 to the under respectively. It's hard to know which direction to trust here.

Philly has been dealing with some defensive injuries, which has helped out the overs, so Derrick Henry and the Titans should be able to generate points on Sunday. It's Deshaun Watson's return to the NFL, and of course his first game is in Houston (anyone think that specific 12 game suspension wasn't for marketing purposes?) Could he potentially stunt the Browns offense in his first game action in over a year? It's possible.